Vision
Case
History:
Vision
plc is a reputable manufacturer of a specialist range of optical and
photographic equipment. At present, marketing activities are confined
to its home market in Blinkland. The directors wish to achieve a net
profit per annum of £150 million by the year ending 30 November
2009.
Financial
Information
*Note
1*
The
most recent forecast covering the three year period ending 30
November 2009, based on sales of products which were in existence at
1 December 2006 to existing customers, is as follows:
Year
ending 30 November
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Turnover
|
100·0
|
105·0
|
110·0
|
Net
Profit
|
40·0
|
42·0
|
44·0
|
*Note
2*
Vision
plc manufactures a range of products within its three divisions, as
follows:
Division
Astronomy This
division manufactures telescopic equipment which is sold via mail
order to private individuals.
Medical This
division manufactures microscopes and associated equipment which are
sold to hospitals and schools in Blinkland.
Outdoor
pursuits This division manufactures a range of cameras and binoculars
which are sold via mail order to private individuals.
*Note
3*
The
following became effective on 1 December 2006:
- The company created a new division called the Oceanic division which manufactures cameras suitable for underwater use. These are sold to clubs and societies that engage in scuba diving activities. Sales revenue is forecast to be £5 million in the first year of operation with an anticipated doubling of sales volume during each of the next two years of operation. Variable costs are forecast at 40% of sales revenue in the first year of operation and are expected to reduce to 35% and 30% during each of the next two years respectively. Fixed overheads are forecast at £1 million in the first year of operation and are expected to increase by 10% per annum during each of the next two years.
- The company purchased the ‘Sound and vision’ chain of camera shops comprising a total of 30 retail outlets within Blinkland. Each of the 20 ‘out of town’ outlets is forecast to make a profit of £750,000 and each of the 10 city outlets is forecast to make a profit of £1 million during the year ending 30 November 2007. It is anticipated that profits of ‘out of town’ and city outlets will increase by 8% and 4% per annum respectively during each of the next two years.
- The company purchased Racquets Ltd, a well-established manufacturer of tennis, badminton and squash racquets. Racquets Ltd made a profit of £15 million during the year ended 30 November 2006 and profit is expected to increase by £1 million per annum during each of the next three years.
- A new camera known as the ‘Birdcam-V’ was launched. This camera will allow bird-watching activities to take place during the night, irrespective of prevailing noise and weather conditions. The Birdcam-V is the only camera on the market which has special ‘noise and weather’ filtering capabilities and has an expected life of three years.
The
marketing director has estimated that at a selling price of £600 per
unit, a total of 85,000 units per annum would be sold during the year
ending 30 November 2007 and that each increase or decrease in the
selling price of £10 will cause quantity demanded to decrease or
increase by 1,000 units. The variable cost per unit is expected to
remain constant at £180. Development costs amounting to £45,967,500
are to be written off evenly over the expected life of the Birdcam-V.
The directors of Vision plc have agreed to adopt the combination of
selling price and output that will maximize profit earned from sales
of the Birdcam–V.
Case
Findings:
- Calculate the ‘profit gap’ that is forecast to exist at 30 November 2009:
Year
ending 30 November
|
2007
|
|
2008
|
|
2009
|
|
£000
|
|
£000
|
|
£000
|
Existing
portfolio
|
40,000
|
|
42,000
|
|
44,000
|
Oceanic
division
|
2,000
|
|
5,400
|
|
12,790
|
Shops
|
25,000
|
|
26,600
|
|
28,312
|
Racquets
|
16,000
|
|
17,000
|
|
18,000
|
Birdcam-V
|
25,000
|
|
25,000
|
|
25,000
|
Forecast
profit
|
108,000
|
|
116,000
|
|
128,102
|
Target
profit
|
|
|
|
|
150,000
|
Shortfall
i.e. Profit-gap
|
|
|
|
|
21,898
|
*Working
1*
Birdcam-V
Using
the demand function P = a – bq where:
P
= selling price at which q units are demanded
a
= price at which zero units will be demanded
b
= change in unit price/change in quantity demanded
q
= quantity demanded
b
= 10/1,000 = 0·01
600
= a – 0·01(85,000)
600
= a – 850
∴a
= £1,450
Demand
function is P = 1,450 – 0·01q
Total
revenue function = PQ = 1,450q – 0·01q2
Marginal
revenue function = 1,450 – 0·02q
Marginal
revenue = marginal cost∴1,450 – 0·02q = 180
∴0·02q
= 1,270 and q = 63,500
Using
the demand function P = 1,450 – 0·01q then
P
= 1,450 – 0·01(63,500)
P
= 1,450 – 635 = £815
Therefore
profit per annum can be calculated as follows:
|
|
|
£
|
Revenue
|
63,500
|
x
£815
|
51,752,500
|
Variable
costs
|
63,500
|
x
£180
|
11,430,000
|
Contribution
|
|
|
40,322,500
|
Fixed
overheads
|
£45,967,500/3
|
|
15,322,500
|
Profit
per annum
|
|
|
25,000,000
|
- How the use of Ansoff’s product-market matrix might assist the management of Vision plc to reduce the profit-gap:
Igor
Ansoff’s product-market matrix is as follows:
- Market Penetration
With
regard to existing products it would appear that a strategy of market
penetration is being followed, whereby attempts are made to sell
existing products into existing markets. This is a low risk strategy
which is most unlikely to lead to high rates of growth, reflected in
the forecast increase of 2% per annum in the years ending 30 November
2008 and 2009. Management seeks here to increase its market share
with the current product range. In pursuing a penetration strategy
the management of Vision plc may to some extent be able to exploit
opportunities including the following:
- Encouraging existing customers to buy more of their brand
- Encouraging customers who are buying a competitor’s brand to switch to their brand
- Encouraging non-users within the segment to buy their brand
‘Strengths’
within the current portfolio will need to be consolidated and any
areas of weakness addressed with remedial action.
- Market Development
The
purchase of the retail outlets will enable management to sell
existing products via new channels of distribution. The products of
both the Astronomy and Outdoor Pursuits divisions could be sold via
the retail outlets. Very often new markets can be established in
geographical terms. Management could, for example, look to promote
the sale of microscopes and associated equipment to overseas
hospitals.
- Product Development
The
launch of the Birdcam-V is an example of a product development
strategy whereby new products are targeted at existing markets. Very
often, existing products can be improved, or if an organization
possesses adequate resources, completely new products can be
developed to meet existing market needs. Some of the main risks here
lie in the ‘time to market’ and product development costs which
frequently go well beyond initial estimates.
- Diversification
The
purchase of Racquets Ltd is an example of diversification on the part
of Vision plc since the products and markets of Racquets Ltd bear no
relationship to the existing products and markets of the company. In
this regard the diversification is said to be unrelated.
The
establishment of the Oceanic division could be regarded as a related
diversification since existing technology will be used to develop new
products for new markets. The success of this strategy will very much
depend on the strength of the Vision brand.
Recommendations:
The
design of the matrix will focus the attention of the management of
Vision plc on strategic responses in order to promote growth in
profits. Use of the matrix will enable management to evaluate and
select alternative strategic options in order to reduce or eliminate
the ‘profit-gap’. Management will be able to use information
relating to the past in assessing the potential future benefits that
may derive from the adoption of alternative strategies. The model,
like many other models, has little predictive capability. However, in
using the model, management will be able to take into account the
level of risk attaching to each of their strategic options. For
example, the adoption of a strategy of market penetration entails the
lowest risk whereas a diversification strategy has the highest risk
especially when the entry strategy is not based upon the core
competencies of Vision plc.
The Motherhelp Company
History:
TMC,
which is based in Happyland, manufactures and markets disposable
nappies for babies and infant children. Disposable nappies are made
of super-absorbent chemicals, paper pulp and plastics.
TMC
has been very successful since its formation in 1996. It has
established a very strong brand name and its products are sold by all
leading pharmacies and supermarkets in Happyland. TMC has a strong
organizational culture with high levels of employee motivation and
satisfaction throughout the organization.
Financial
Information:
Available
information regarding the disposable nappy market size and TMC’s
revenue is as follows:
The
marketing director of TMC has obtained information that the
birth-rate in Happyland is projected to fall after 2010. However, the
number of years over which the projected fall might take place cannot
be forecast with any degree of certainty.
The
directors of TMC are most concerned that in spite of the growth
achieved during recent years, there remains a projected ‘planning
gap’ at the end of 2012. In view of this fact the directors of TMC
are considering the acquisition of The Comfy Baby Company (CBC), a
competitor, which had revenue of $155m during 2008 from sales of its
disposable nappies. None of the directors of TMC have any previous
experience of such an acquisition. The directors of TMC have heard
that CBC has experienced workplace culture based problems during
recent years.
The
government of Happyland has recently issued a green paper, designed
to encourage discussion and potentially pave the way for legislation,
concerning the environment in which they stated their concerns about
companies such as TMC whose entire revenues derive from sales of
non-biodegradable products.
Requirements:
- Explain the term ‘planning gap’ and discuss other suitable alternative strategies to closing the planning gap which the directors of TMC might have considered prior to giving consideration to the purchase of CBC:
A
‘planning gap’ is the gap between the forecast position based
upon an extrapolation of projected current activities and the
forecast of the desired position. The planning gap is most often
measured in terms of demand but may also be reported in terms of net
profit, return on capital employed etc.
TMC
has a projected market share of 22% at the end of 2010. It is clear
from the information given that the directors of TMC have a target
market share which is higher than this, hence the planning gap.
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