EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This study was aimed at
understanding the impact on Auto sector has been growing mainly since the last
three years due to huge demand and has witnessed a tremendous change in overall
production, quality, delivery time and in confidence of the investor. Now the
macroeconomic environment seems to be quite encouraging from the policy maker
side but actually it’s not, why? Because of the fact that the policy makers
either seem to justify themselves by thinking short term advantages or they are
not thinking at all.
Introduction
Business Analysis using SWOT, composition of account heads, manpower, product trend, market trends
Financial Analysis using ratios, vertical and horizontal analysis, economic conditions, Basic forecast (if possible)
Macro Environment and Problems
Manufacturing is the second
largest sector of the economy, accounting for 8.2% of GDP in 2005-06.
Large-scale manufacturing, accounted for 69.9% of overall manufacturing,
registered growth of 9.0% in 2005-06 against the target of 14.5% and last
year’s achievement of 15.6%. The main contributors to the 9.0% growth in
2005-06 were the textile and apparel group (7.0%), chemicals (14.8%), petroleum
group (2.3%), tires and tubes group (12.2%), non-metallic mineral products
(9.5%), engineering goods group (6.5%), electrical items group (11.8%), and automobile
group (29.8%); jeeps and cars (29.9%), tractors (16.3%), L.C.V’s
(29.3%), motorcycles/scooters (15.0%).
The
automobile industry is the largest segment in world trade. The annual size of
the automotive exports has grown over US$600 billion, which accounts for about
10 percent of world exports. The auto industry in Pakistan is fast growing;
this mechanical revolution has been aided in part to sound macro economic
policies pursued during the last seven years.
At
present the Pak Suzuki motor company is still enjoying its monopoly in the
market of car manufacturers and the second largest is the Indus Motor Company,
and Atlas Honda and Dewan Motors covers
the rest of the market share. The market of Pakistan is currently ruled by
these four but there are some international companies of high repute that are
considering the country a healthy investment place.
For
instance Porche Motors have already started selling there high luxury vehicles
in the country, Volkswagen, Renault are in process of consideration and
recently a new Malaysian company named Proton Motors have started a month ago.
In addition with this the local manufacturers have also introduced fully imported
luxury vehicles for high end users, these cars include Camry, APV, Hilux,
Accord, Coupe, BMW (dewan motors) and Mercedes.
Auto
sector has been growing mainly since the last three years due to huge demand
and has witnessed a tremendous change in overall production, quality, and
delivery time and in confidence of the investor. Now the macroeconomic
environment seems to be quite encouraging from the policy maker side but
actually it’s not, why? Because of the fact that the policy makers either seem
to justify themselves by thinking short term advantages or they are not
thinking at all.
Since
it has been announced by the government that the duty for completely knocked
down units (CKD) from 35% to 32.5% and reduction of custom duty on import of
completely built-up units (CBU) and both of these policy are still not seen in
action as this would de-motivate the local manufacturers and in result the
customers would have to have high price vehicles. But still our local industry cannot fill the
supply demand gap.
Some
major problems for the auto sector are given below that are the main
constraints in the sector performance and if resolved then the heavy growth in
the sector could be achieved.
- Rising interest rates
- Import of used cars
- Lack of investment
- Technology constraints
- Rising oil prices
The above
listed are some of the major problems that are being faced by the local
manufacturers and are the main factors of the slow growth in the auto sector. A
proper long-term policy should be provided by the government to aid the local
manufacturers and also to attract new entrants in the market. Currently the new entrants are the Adam
Motors and the Chevrolet Motors that are followed by dewan motors who have
brought the fully imported Mitsubishi Motor Cars in the country otherwise there
is no new entrant from the local side except for foreign companies. The auto
sector has still high growth potential as it has achieved about 29% of LSM
growth and due to this foreign investment has been coming to enhance the plant capacity
and the local manufacturers are running there plants on double shifts but still
there is a need of the upper hand that would assist in fulfillment of the
demand supply gap.
Although
the vision for achieving the production to two hundred thousand units have been
achieved but still its not filling the gap of huge demand and low supply, to
bring the equilibrium in market government policy of the used cars imports have
been aiding for a few days but the shortage of auto parts of these used cars
made there selling much more slower and the importers are now at mercy of the
customer or at the mercy of the government to reduce custom duty on import of
auto parts in the country. The import of used cars also affected the local car
manufacturers as they have to compete with these imported cars so they brought
there own imported vehicles although this import would help them in providing
the customer with more models and luxury vehicles but still the local
manufacturing gets hurt by this and the end result would be heavy downsizing in
the companies and slow manufacturing in the plants.
Contrary to the government’s
expectations of a positive impact through duty reduction on import of
reconditioned cars, Pakistan has already begun to face the aftermath of the
government’s inconsistent policies. As one industry expert said, it is for the
government to choose if they want Pakistan to develop a strong industrial base
and make cars locally, or convert the Pakistani market into an international
dumping ground for used and reconditioned vehicles. In the long term, actually
even in the short term, the later is not in the interest of either the consumer
or the country
The lack of long-term auto policy
will have a negative impact on the growth of local auto industry. Help is
needed to make Pakistan a global supplier of auto components and embodying
incentives to facilitate research and development. Import tariffs should
be fixed to help promote manufacturing of cars and auto parts locally, while
the government should encourage local and foreign investment for capacity
expansion in order to meet the rising demand. But there should keep a balance
between production levels of vendors and assemblers with continued governmental
assistance
A positive factor that can be
concluded by this policy is that if foreign companies like the Porche,
Volkswagen e.t.c. started there own manufacturing facility here in Pakistan
then there would be much more competition and high quality would be provided as
well better after sales services from the current manufacturers because of
extreme competitive environment. Also this has started to reduce the premium
rates on local vehicles that were normally very high because of excess demand
and because of consumer choice as well, the reduction in delivery times also
has improved because of this import regime that was normally up to six to eight
months is now two to three months and also the new entrants in the market has
also provided the reduced rates and delivery times because of the same reason.
The growth perspective for the
auto sector is higher as it seems that the production level is effective that
is about 200K vehicles are being manufactured per annum and the vision is to
produce 500K by the year 2010. Although there are problems but still the sector
is performing with growth perspectives and there are some major factors for the
achievement of such growth.
·
Rising
income [purchasing power]
·
Consumer
financing
·
Capacity
expansion
·
Low
steel prices
·
Appreciation
of Pak Rupee v/s Japanese Yen
The purchasing power of the
people has risen upwards as well as the demand for vehicles, and the
interesting factor is that luxurious cars are being appreciated nationwide
despite of their high prices, but atleast the local manufacturers are being
utilized by the people to provide better quality and better after sales
services.
Besides this, the major increase
in production and sales is also due to the increased consumer financing
opportunities provided by the financial institutions to increase their
businesses as well as the auto sector gets a booming growth in the last three
years because of the competitive financing activities. Capacity expansion is
done in almost every company of the sector due to heavy demand faced by the
local manufacturers also the companies are now working on double shifts since
last year to reduce the gap between supply and demand.
Other
than these major factor international steel prices have been decreased and
because of that manufacturers are now being able to produce more vehicles and
can buy raw material at lower prices than before and also the appreciation of
Pak rupee against Japanese Yen is another factor of the growth in sector as the
imports from the mother company becomes a little less costly.
IMC VISION AND MISSION STATEMENT
"IMC’s Vision is to be the most respected and successful enterprise, delighting customers with a wide range of products and solutions in the automobile industry with the best people and the best technology".- The most respected.
- The most successful.
- Delighting customers.
- Wide range of products.
- The best people.
- The best technology.
MANAGEMENT POLICY
We as a
team at Indus Motor Company are committed to comply with the requirements of
our Integrated Management System and to endeavor to continuously improve upon
it in order to:
Manufacture high Quality Products.
Generate Customer Satisfaction.
Provide Service to the Society.
Maintain Market Leadership.
Identify and avoid/mitigate those environmental aspects which have negative environmental impacts. Comply with all applicable legal, regulatory and other requirements related to Environment, Health and Safety,
Assist society by making
the environment more friendly.Manufacture high Quality Products.
Generate Customer Satisfaction.
Provide Service to the Society.
Maintain Market Leadership.
Identify and avoid/mitigate those environmental aspects which have negative environmental impacts. Comply with all applicable legal, regulatory and other requirements related to Environment, Health and Safety,
Design and maintain facilities, establish systems, provide training and conduct operations in a manner that safeguard people and property.
Identify, evaluate & mitigate health risks related to our operations that potentially affect our employees, contractors and the public.
Action Commitment Teamwork for becoming # 1 in Pakistan”
means a committed team to make Indus # 1 in:
- Respect and Corporate Image
- Customer Satisfaction
- Quantity in Production & Sales
- Quality
- Profitability
- Best Employer
HISTORY
Indus Motor Company
(IMC) is a joint venture between the House of
Habib , Toyota Motor Corporation Japan (TMC) , and Toyota
Tsusho Corporation Japan (TTC)
for assembling, progressive manufacturing and marketing of Toyota vehicles in
Pakistan since July 01, 1990. IMC is engaged in sole distributorship of Toyota
and Daihatsu Motor Company Ltd. vehicles in Pakistan through
its dealership network. The company was incorporated in Pakistan as a public limited company in December 1989 and started commercial production in May 1993. The shares of company are quoted on the stock exchanges of Pakistan. Toyota Motor Corporation and Toyota Tsusho Corporation have 25 % stake in the company equity. The majority shareholder is the House of Habib.
IMC's production facilities are located at Port Bin Qasim Industrial Zone near Karachi in an area measuring over 105 acres.
Indus Motor company's plant is the only manufacturing site in the world where both Toyota and Daihatsu brands are being manufactured.
Heavy investment was made to build its production facilities based on state of art technologies. To ensure highest level of productivity world-renowned Toyota Production Systems are implemented.
PRODUCT LINE
IMC's Product line includes 6 variants of the newly introduced Toyota Corolla, Toyota Hilux Single Cabin 4x2 and 4 versions of Daihatsu Cuore. We also have a wide range of imported vehicles
COLLABORATION
FRAMEWORK
|
MANUFACTURING FACILITIES
Just
in Time spirit implies two opposing forces of providing fast and flexible
response to customers, yet building efficient mechanisms and systems that are
efficient and waste-free.
The concept is to provide the right product and information, at the right time, in the right amount, in the right manner, while maintaining high standards of efficiency and cost control. We have to practice this contradictory idea in our daily activities.
The concept is to provide the right product and information, at the right time, in the right amount, in the right manner, while maintaining high standards of efficiency and cost control. We have to practice this contradictory idea in our daily activities.
AUTO SECTOR IN PAK
Automobile
sector is one of the fastest growing sectors in Pakistan. It contributes
towards the nations economy in the form of Technology Transfer, Employment,
Investment and much more. Automobile sector contributed over Rs.23 billion to
the national exchequer in the year 2003-04.
As the industry's growing, so are the Automobile companies. Every manufacturer is in the process of increasing production capacity to meet customer demands. Through out the 90's the annual automobile production remained constant around 45,000 but due to consistent policies and positive macro economic conditions the industry boomed to over 120,000 units/annum in just 4 years.
For statistic of the Automobile sector please visit Pakistan Automobile Manufactures Association's website: http://www.pama.org.pk
As the industry's growing, so are the Automobile companies. Every manufacturer is in the process of increasing production capacity to meet customer demands. Through out the 90's the annual automobile production remained constant around 45,000 but due to consistent policies and positive macro economic conditions the industry boomed to over 120,000 units/annum in just 4 years.
For statistic of the Automobile sector please visit Pakistan Automobile Manufactures Association's website: http://www.pama.org.pk
INVESTOR RELAATION POLCIY
To maintain an active and open dialogue with the security analysts, shareholders and potential investors regarding the Company's historical performance and future prospects.
Policy Statement
I MC is committed to fair disclosure of the Company information without advantage to any particular investor or analyst and seeks to provide current and potential shareholders with appropriate information necessary to make reasoned and informed decisions about investment in IMC equity.
Our Investor Relations –IR Policy:
(i) prohibits the selective disclosure of material, nonpublic information about the Company,
(ii) sets forth procedures designed to prevent such disclosure, and
(iii) provides for the broad, public distribution of material information regarding IMC.
At all times IMC will guard the Company's need for confidentiality about key business and operating strategies & SECP's directive on nonpublic earnings guidance.
Research Design and Methodology
The research design and methodology would be simple
as defined in the phase 1 of the project. We would be studying the financial
statements of the company to identify major cost centers and their impact on
the production levels as well as the final affect on the operational
profitability.
The data collection methods would be the same as
well, however would be defined in details later on. The overall design of the
research would be subjective with use of quantitative evidence (i.e. Financial
statement references, internal information (where possible) and industry data
retrieved from various market sources)
Population of Research Project
There
would not be any specific population selection in this research; however, there
might be a possibility of asking questions to relevant personnel that would
have a direct impact on the conclusion of the research.
This is
for the reason as this is a case study; the sample population may comprise of
people working in the concerned departments but then their views of the CVP
impact might not portray the actual results available in Financial statements,
also the financial statements doesnot always answers’ every qualitative
question therefore the population could have people like the Financial
controller, Manager Finance and Manager Costing.
Our
population for the project would be all the cost centers working under the head
of expenses in the accounting tree of the company; however we will select the
major impact occurring units for the ease of study as there is a clear limit of
time for the research.
Sampling Procedure
There is
no sampling procedure in this research, as the reason is explicitly written in
population of research. Although the theme of sampling could be alike cluster
sampling where cost centers are referred to as various clusters.
Our main
focus is to find the impact making factors on financial decision making. For
this our sampling procedure is for data collection only and to further analyze
the possibility of cost effective majors that can impact the bottom line of the
company.
The Sample
Sample
would be the financial statements for Indus Motor Company Limited for the last
three years that is from 2008 to 2010. The sample would then be further
classified via fixed and variable costs, and further classified in to revenue
generation and productivity centers. The sample might include research from
industry sources as well.
Instrumentation
As stated
earlier, information would be derived from the data of financial statements of
three years, industry data and descriptions from the reports.
Various
calculation methods as described in techniques for decision making stated in
phase 1 would be applied and conclusions from them will answer our research
objectives. The profit and loss statement would play the most vital role in
conclusion along side would be the inventory information from the balance sheet
that is also very crucial for justification of conclusion.
Data Collection
Data would
be collected from financial statements of the year 2008, 2009 and 2010; also
industry specific data would also be collected through various sources
Specific
information includes Sales for Indus Motor Company Limited and various major
revenue centers like Product Divisions and Spare Parts. Operational cost having
major cost centers like material, salaries, power etc. Changes in assets and
liabilities are also counted for the impact on financial decision making.
Competition data is also retrieved on limited disclosure basis for necessary
perusal.
Ethical Consideration
Due to
the fact that management is not comfortable in sharing internal financial
accounts of the company, we have taken published financial statements and other
relevant data from market sources that are authorized and authentic in nature.
For relevant industry data, reports from reputable research houses and
authorities are selected that will be enclosed with annexure and appendices.
Data Representation
Representation of
data would be through demonstrated techniques for decision making such as:
contribution of accounts as per criteria chosen (sales or assets); trend
analysis, and necessary ratios with supported charts and tables. Along with
numbers there would be grids for SWOT and other qualitative factors.
Also comments on
the strength and weaknesses of the techniques mentioned, the impact of the
decision-makers attitude to risk on the decision making process would form an
overall part of representation.
Procedure for Answering Research
Questions
To
develop a good understanding of knowledge required and techniques; available to
enable managers to measure and manage business performance within the
organization. The following procedures are to identify both financial and
non-financial measures of performance that would be used to answer our research
questions.
- understand how performance measures (from ratios) should be linked to overall organization strategy
- identify and apply techniques that aid decision making
- identifying techniques to evaluate decisions in relation to: costing, pricing, product range, marketing
- strategy for purchasing and production strategies (identified from Reports of management)
Analysis
of Data and Interpretation of Results
Introduction
As discussed in the prior chapter, data is retrieved
from the published financial statements for the last three years; we will begin
our analysis with the following pattern.
- Composition of the Financial Statements
- Business Analysis supported with SWOT grid and other measures
- Vertical and Horizontal Analysis w.r.t Trend analysis
- Production Capacity
- Cost Centres Vs. Revenue Centres
- Risk factors
We will be using financial ratios analysis at a very
limited scale for the fact that this report is focused on the business analysis
in concern to Improvement in cost measures mainly, and thus a full scale ratio
analysis is not done.
General
Description of Data
The revenue generation comes from mainly the two
categories of business units namely manufacturing and trading under that there
are the three main business units running in the Indus motor company, that is
the CKD (Completely knockdown units), CBU (Completely Built Units) and last but
not least the Auto spare parts business. The CKD segment currently caters two
products mainly Corolla and Cuore. The CBU segment caters mainly four products
Camry, Hilux4x4, Landcruiser and Hiace.
Competition
Chart for Indus Motor Company
Small-High
segment __ CKD Passenger Car
The CKD segment includes the production of the
market leader in 1300CC variant, Toyota Corolla; there are mainly four
competitors when it comes to 1300CC to 1800CC variant. Corolla leads the
small-high segment of the market, while Honda City the second, followed by
Honda Civic and Suzuki Liana.
The yearly pattern of the Small-High segment
signifies the higher demand of Corolla in the Pakistan market than any other cars
available including the imported cars. By analyzing the sales pattern, it is
obviously clear that the industry’s total sales for year on year basis have
declined until this year mainly on Corolla’s account.
Corolla’s sales has reached the highest mark in the
year 2010 (43,382 units) after its cumulative decline of 25% since the year
2007 with annual sales of more than 35,000 units.
The decline in the market leader’s sale was mainly the after affects of
the economic slowdown faced by all other automakers as well, also it was on the
account of much awaited new model that was received amazingly as it turns the
picture of the whole Small High Segment towards a positive stance.
The main business of the IMC comes from this single
business segment serving as market leader since last five years.
The main push for the small-high segment started
from the 2nd quarter of FY09, where IMC and Honda played the key
role in reviving the growth with their high quality products. With Corolla’s
new model success, Honda also launched their new model for Honda City in 2009,
however due to higher price and lesser demand Honda remains second in
competition.
The industry still needs much attention from the
government, although one of the other driving factors was the imposition of
import duty on used cars that reduced the incoming competition. Above all,
Indus Motor Company is the only company in the region that stood among the
highest in selling corolla.
Economy
Segment __ CKD Passenger Car
The other product of the CKD segment s the 800CC
variant Cuore, that competes with only one competitor that is the Pak Suzuki
Mehran. Yearly pattern for the sales exhibits a significant decline of the
segment and especially for the Cuore where sales has decreased to more than 50%
and still decreased by 500 units in FY2010.
The main reason for the
decline in sales is the higher price of the variant because of higher quality
compliance in comparison with others including Mehran, also it was on account
of the downsizing of prices in march 2009 by the competition that even make
some variants of 1000cc models priced equal to the price of Cuore and last but
not the least there was a limitation to the availability of CKD kits.
As
of now a new variant of the product had been launched that includes automatic
transmission as well as it runs on CNG named as ‘Ecomatic’. The segment has
been facing a downward trend since 2 years, however demand for economy segment
has increased, one of the reason being the import of economy cars has been on
the second highest scale especially with the introduction of 600cc variant.
CBU
Business Segment
The CBU units are the market leaders in their
respective segments because of the fact that besides the luxury segment there
is not much competition available in comparison with product and the quality of
that product.
Indus motor company introduced the luxury car
segment in 2006, that gathers more than 15 percent of the market share in its
first year launch, however afterwards the demand for luxury cars slowed in 2007
because of the import duties that were levied by the government; but the demand
for Camry grew even higher when the worldwide launch of the new Camry model was
introduced in Pakistan as well. Also the new model of Hilux and Hiace(Van) was
introduced in the same year that were already at the peak of their demand and
by 2008 Indus has attained a total market share
of more than 85 percent in the CBU segment that includes Camry, Hilux 4x4,
Hiace van and Landcruiser (SUV).
The IMC imported vehicles are recognized as the
industry leader because of the highest quality standards that are maintained by
the company in order to continuously increase their market share. Although the
custom duty of 150% resulted in more than 50% decline in IMC sales, despite the
fact that the used imported cars are also mainly comprised of the Toyota brand, however, the
IMC sales for the segment just increased by 2 units during the year 2010.
SWOT
ANALYSIS
The internal and external assessment of the company
resources was done via financial statements also using the director’s reports
and financial analyst briefings published by the company.
Strengths |
Weaknesses |
1. Market
leader in 1300-1800 cc passenger cars as well 4x4, Pickups, Vans and buses
2. Capacity
expanded to 53040 units per annum
3. Continuous
product development
4. Huge
product line catering to almost all market segments
5. Increased
quality, profitability, transparency and customer preference
6. largest
producer of corolla in South Asia
7. Improved
MIS with online chassis punching and highly trained and professional
workforce including employees, vendors, etc
8. Very
strong image of listed common stock because of persistently increasing EPS
and building investor’s confidence through effective payout policies
|
1. Low
production capacity compared to competitor production capacity
2. Still
High prices of spare parts due to no mass production and small vendor base
3. Economies
of scales still not achieved through lowering distribution expenses
4.
Competency in 800 CC domains
still not achieved although lowered
|
Opportunities |
Threats |
1.
Bring new product line because
of saturated demand for current models
2.
Continued gap of supply and
demand
3.
Expansion plans to reduce
delivery time
4.
Auto parts business
enhancements
5.
Seek out export window for
products like Vans and coasters as well as parts of corolla
6.
Appreciation of Pak Rupee
against Japanese Yen
|
1. Rising
energy and fuel prices
2. Import
of used cars
3. Tax
structure
4. New
entrants especially international competitors
5. Rising
interest rates
6. Capacity
expansions by competitors
7. Technology
constraints
8. Increasing
price of steel and other metals used.
|
Financial Analysis
for Indus Motor Company
The overall performance
of the company is quite overwhelming, however due to the slowdown in industry
the company balance sheet depicts a decline in the total size of the company
but at the same time the fundamentals of the company remained strong and thus
glimpsing a good future of the company. The company despite recession in the
economy is in continuation of the aggressive marketing strategies along side
with the continuing expansion plans as the company has mission to achieve 100,000
units per year mark by the year 2012.
The company’s capacity
utilization ratio signifies the authentication of the fact that the aggressive
strategies of the company is paying off with flying colours; the sales ratio as
a percentage of production never decreases than 100 percent.
Comparing IMC with its major competitors clearly
signifies why this company outperform in the industry, it is explicitly clear
that company’s inventory management is
much more efficient than its competitors.
UTILISATION
%
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
IMC
|
90%
|
91%
|
65%
|
Pak Suzuki
|
81%
|
60%
|
34%
|
Honda Cars
|
36%
|
30%
|
26%
|
|
|
|
|
SALES
/ PRODUCTION %
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
IMC
|
106%
|
105%
|
103%
|
Pak Suzuki
|
42%
|
56%
|
69%
|
Honda Cars
|
103%
|
103%
|
98%
|
The income generation capacity of the company is
still intact despite slowdown in the economy as the company is able to make
higher sales than last year. This is on account of high demand of products and
higher prices as well. Also the company has doubled its fixed assets in 2008
that shows a healthy sign for expansion, however it also increased the non-cash
expenses for the company.
The
company was able to reduce its liabilities very significantly in 2008 that
lowers the risks of the financial position of the company, although due to high
demand of the products there is a huge increase of advances from customers and
dealers.
.
The income disbursement that is the dividend payout
has been the highest this year at Rs.15/share although it had been lowered in
the year 2008, as the company retained more profit in order to reinvest for the
capacity expansion plans. The earnings per share of the company also decreased
because of the lowered income after tax due to inflationary impact on expenses
also the company has to bear higher than before taxation in the year 2008. The
earnings retention rate also enhances the book value of the company and its
revenue per share.
Financial Position
Analysis
The company’s financial position has become much
more stable as the management policies are very well intact with the economic
scenario prevailing in the country, also the aggressive expansion policy along
with stable working capital coverage depicts the stronger position of balance
sheet for the upcoming years.
The equity had been reduced to 46 percent from 68 percent
in 2008 mainly on account of higher payouts in 2009 and 2010; with the highest
dividend payout of PKR 15.00 per share the company is able to retain better
profits. The company does not hold any interest bearing liability except for
the payments of assets subject to financial lease. The company is charged 7
percent per annum that counts for a negligible affect on its liabilities.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
PAID
UP CAPITAL
|
5.72%
|
3.80%
|
2.90%
|
2.93%
|
RETAINED
EARNING
|
62.92%
|
45.98%
|
43.49%
|
49.69%
|
TOTAL
EQUITY
|
68.64%
|
49.78%
|
46.38%
|
52.62%
|
The current liabilities have increased to 52 percent
as the advances received by the company from customers in respect of sale of
vehicles due to higher demand as exhibited earlier.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
LONG
TERM LIABILITY
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
DEFFERED
LIABLITIES
|
3.87%
|
2.44%
|
1.20%
|
1.69%
|
TOTAL
LONG TERM LIABILITIES
|
3.87%
|
2.44%
|
1.20%
|
1.69%
|
A/C
PAYABLE
|
20.32%
|
19.06%
|
21.76%
|
21.39%
|
TAXATION
|
0.00%
|
0.07%
|
0.89%
|
0.00%
|
OTHER
CURRENT LIABILITIES
|
7.17%
|
28.65%
|
29.76%
|
24.30%
|
TOTAL
CURRENT LIABILITIES
|
27.49%
|
47.79%
|
52.42%
|
45.69%
|
TOTAL
LIABILITY
|
31.36%
|
50.22%
|
53.62%
|
47.38%
|
The capital expenditure in the plant and equipment
increased the long term assets to 29 percent that is about an increase of 92
percent in 2008 as compared to 22 percent increase in 2007. However, presently
the Capital WIP has been almost completed and the Core assets are now reduced
to 12 percent of total assets.
The expansion regime started off mainly in 2003 when
IMC started working on double shifts, since then the company increased its
manufacturing assets by 72 percent in 2006. The cash balance of the company has
nearly doubled in 2010 that shows a healthy sales cycle also the investment
mindset of the company’s management.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
CORE
ASSETS
|
29.34%
|
19.02%
|
12.25%
|
15.75%
|
LONG
TERM INVESTMENTS
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
OTHER
LONG TERM ASSETS
|
0.36%
|
0.17%
|
0.08%
|
0.08%
|
TOTAL
LONG TERM ASSETS
|
29.70%
|
19.19%
|
12.33%
|
15.83%
|
The current assets of the company have been raised
to more than 80 percent in 2010 as compared to 70 percent in 2008, the main
driver being increasing cash balance over the period. The efficiency is
achieved in inventory management, as the company was able to sold its units in
slowing economy currently the inventory contributes about 20 percent on average
basis, the increase is primarily on account of higher cost of the products. Accounts
receivables had been increased by just 0.3 percent in 2010 as compared to a
increase of 28 percent in 2008, this is primarily on account of increased
credit sale to government agencies in 2008 that is secured but takes time.
However, this is alarming on weak recovery account.
The increase in other
current assets has been witnessed at more than 50 percent in 2008 contributing
about 7 percent in total assets, this is due to the fact that the amounts
delayed from related parties including banks, suppliers and some taxation
amount that has been deferred and is to be finalized by the taxation agencies.
Although since 2009 it is decreasing on average of 4.4 percent per annum.
Cash and bank balances
have been increasing on average rate of 90 percent since 2009 contributing more
than 50 percent of the total assets. In 2008 the composition reduced to 31
percent that translates a decrease of 49 percent due to the expansion plans of
the company, as it is explicitly clear that the company is exercising its
excess liquidity in a very decent management manner. Also the expansion of 3s
dealer network and the Spare parts business is one of the other reasons for the
heavy cash balance.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
INVENTORY
|
20.87%
|
20.39%
|
19.57%
|
21.67%
|
A/C
RECEIVABLE
|
10.24%
|
8.72%
|
6.67%
|
5.55%
|
OTHER
CURRENT ASSETS
|
7.31%
|
4.65%
|
3.37%
|
5.15%
|
SHORT
TERM INVESTMENT
|
0.39%
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
18.40%
|
CASH
AND BANK
|
31.48%
|
47.04%
|
58.06%
|
32.47%
|
TOTAL
CURRENT ASSETS
|
70.30%
|
80.81%
|
87.67%
|
83.23%
|
The structure of the
balance sheet looks very strong as the company has 46 percent financing through
equity with liabilities of non-interest bearing nature and more than 70 percent
liquid assets, the higher demand of the product line would be well placed with
the expansion plans translating in efficient turnovers and higher return over
the future years.
Profit and Loss Analysis
The company sales made yet another record high in
the year 2010, after a setback of 8 percent in 2009, IMC returns with more than
50 percent in revenue that supports the ability of the management planning even
in the slowdown era of industry. This was mainly on account of slow down in the
economy and increased prices of the vehicles due to the 5% FEDError!
Bookmark not defined. imposed by the government, however sales also
grew by the spare parts business and it is showing promising future prospects.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
SALES
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
RAW
MATERIAL CONSUMED
|
71.6%
|
78.6%
|
78.8%
|
84.3%
|
LABOUR
|
0.7%
|
0.8%
|
0.6%
|
0.8%
|
ENERGY
COST
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
OPERATING
CAPEX
|
1.6%
|
1.5%
|
1.6%
|
1.8%
|
OVERHEADS
|
2.2%
|
3.8%
|
3.4%
|
3.4%
|
COST
OF GOODS MANUFACTURED
|
76.4%
|
85.0%
|
84.2%
|
90.9%
|
STOCK
(NET)
|
14.4%
|
8.8%
|
8.0%
|
4.9%
|
COGS
|
90.7%
|
93.9%
|
92.2%
|
95.9%
|
GROSS
PROFIT
|
9.3%
|
6.1%
|
7.8%
|
6.8%
|
OTHER
INCOME
|
1.9%
|
1.9%
|
3.0%
|
2.5%
|
ADMINISTRATIVE
EXPENSES
|
0.7%
|
0.9%
|
0.6%
|
0.8%
|
SELLING
& DISTRIBUTION EXPENSES
|
1.2%
|
1.2%
|
0.8%
|
1.1%
|
FINANCIAL
CHARGES
|
0.0%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.1%
|
OTHER
CHARGES
|
0.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
PBT
|
8.5%
|
5.4%
|
8.7%
|
6.7%
|
TAXATION
|
3.0%
|
1.7%
|
3.0%
|
2.1%
|
PAT
|
5.5%
|
3.7%
|
5.7%
|
4.6%
|
The Cost of Goods sold has increased by more than 50
percent that increases the total composition to 92 percent in 2010. The
inflationary impact on the raw materials and overheads leads to the decrease in
gross profit by 39 percent in 2009 and 13 percent in 2008, however, in 2010 more
than 100 percent increase is seen GP mainly on account high sales and efficient
cost and inventory management making contribution of 7 percent. The main
concerning issues regarding the increase in cost of goods is because of the
increase in material prices and increased purchases on YoY basis, the labour
wages and other overheads. The higher demand of the products that is translated
with higher inventory levels with advances from customers outstanding are well
managed and with huge cash balance it is explicit that company’s management
tactics are effective and efficient.
The income before tax was decreased by 16 percent on
account of lowered gross profit and other income as well in 2008. Taxation
charges had been decreased by 15 percent in the year 2008 on account of
deferred payments due to plant expansion translating a decline in net income by
16 percent as well.
In 2010, highest profit after tax was booked with
more than 150 percent growth in PBT and more than 148 percent growth in PAT, on
account of better gross margins and other cost effective majors took by the
management.
Financial Ratio
Analysis
Liquidity
management
The liquidity situation
of the company is very much intact, as illustrated by the ratios in the
following table. The current ratio has been decreasing year by year, reason
being the increase in account of advances from customers due to higher demand
of IMC’s products. Although it is still more than 1.5, also with higher cash
margins the position is well enough to mitigate any foreseen risks in
liquidity.
There is still a small
backdrop by the company of having higher inventory level, because the industry
is already in slowdown state, the demand for automobile has been hit hard due
to rising sale price, however the company holds a debt free structure in order
to stay safe from the short term financial obligations. This has become
explicit by looking at the quick ratio year on year based, the cash balances
are increasing year by year in order to mitigate with purchases and expansion
opportunities to meet higher demand.
Asset Management
The working capital
requirement was very well planned as the graph exhibits; the business cycle of
the company has been on progress after 2009 as the demand for product gets high
and also the financial position of the country got better, that resulted in
better purchasing power of the costumer and consumer thus improving the DSO and
inventory turnover impressively.
As the operating cycle
improved, the fixed asset turnover also depicted an increasing trend, probably
on account of the fact that fixed assets are acquired earlier when there costs
were low, whereas the additions to these facilities were the only new reporting
that includes the affect of economic inflation, price increases etc.
As a result the company
was well prepared to meet high demand that resulted in significant improvement
in Asset turnovers.
Profitability
Management
The earning power of
the company is much stronger if the tax obligations are reduced to analyze the
potential. Since the auto assemblers pay very large amount of tax the profit
margins reduced much sharply. The primary source of increase or decrease in
earnings power is the ability to efficiently use the inventory budgets when the
material ordering is done. The lowered the CGM the better the earnings for this
company. Better gross margins were achieved due to higher sales and better cost
efficient measures.
The return on assets of
the company is very much stable depicting the quality of income is accordingly
sufficient. The minimal decrease is because of the doubled number of core
assets in 2008, however the return on equity is on a increased significantly,
this is due to the fact that higher retained profits are appropriated for the
year 2010, also it bodes well with the ongoing expansion policy of the company,
despite high payout of PKR 15 per share.
Answering Research
Questions
Our
initial purpose of this case study was to develop a good understanding of
knowledge required and techniques; available to enable managers to measure and
manage business performance within the organization. Both financial and
non-financial measures of performance are included in this paper.
- understand how performance measures should be linked to overall organization strategy
- identify and apply techniques that aid decision making
- identify and implement appropriate costing systems and business control systems
- identify and apply techniques to evaluate decisions in relation to: costing, pricing, product range, marketing
- strategy, purchasing and production strategies
In
a nutshell, our research was mainly focusing on three factors
1.
Cost
reduction establishments
2.
localization
of material to reduce production costs
3.
finished
goods imports reduction
All
of these questions were answered above, however the main revenue and cost
centres still remain the point of concern for upcoming years to come as Pakistan is
struggling with various economical issues that are not favourable with the auto
sector.
Hypothesis-by-Hypothesis
presentation and analysis of data, and the interpretation of results
Hypothesis 1
Ho:
Efficiency in Gross Margin can be increased with efficiency in production cost
and volume
As we can
see from the below mentioned table, the company is already running on full
strength of its production capacity.
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
INSTALLED
CAPACITY
|
53,040
|
53,040
|
53,040
|
54,800.0
|
PRODUCTION
|
48,222
|
34,298
|
50,557
|
50,759.0
|
Volume Sold
|
50,802
|
35,276
|
52,063
|
50,943.0
|
UTILISATION
%
|
91%
|
65%
|
95%
|
93%
|
SALES
/ PRODUCTION %
|
105%
|
103%
|
103%
|
100%
|
SALES
/ Capacity %
|
96%
|
67%
|
98%
|
93%
|
As a
result, IMC has already achieved improvements in its gross margins i.e. from
6.1% to 7.8% in the year 2010, however there are some costs that can held the
margins back due to various economical factors such as inflation, exchange rate
parity, taxation etc.
On the
production side, IMC is leading the auto assembler market very prominently as
seen in the business analysis segment earlier.
Hypothesis 2
Ho:
Efficient techniques in business costing can result in better operational
planning
It is
very clearly written in the director’s report and other industry resources that
IMC is one of those companies that encourages local manufacturing as much as
possible with complying quality standards, however the production costs
increases with such concern. The most obvious reason is the purchase cost of
the material due to inflationary impact on the whole supply chain, however IMC
was able to almost sustain the same level if not lessen significantly.
Common
Size Analysis
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
SALES
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
RAW
MATERIAL CONSUMED
|
78.6%
|
78.8%
|
84.3%
|
LABOUR
|
0.8%
|
0.6%
|
0.8%
|
ENERGY
COST
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
OPERATING
CAPEX
|
1.5%
|
1.6%
|
1.8%
|
OVERHEADS
|
3.8%
|
3.4%
|
3.4%
|
COST
OF GOODS MANUFACTURED
|
85.0%
|
84.2%
|
90.9%
|
STOCK
(NET)
|
8.8%
|
8.0%
|
4.9%
|
COGS
|
93.9%
|
92.2%
|
95.9%
|
One big
figure that was of the running royalty that has doubled from the prior year to
reach a billion mark. If we even reduce it by 25%, the gross margin will reach
to 85.75%, the same is with the stores and spares account.
The
localization of parts manufacturing would not only bring reduction in these
costs but will also generate new employment opportunities that will overall
improve the industrial sector of our country and bring the sales prices down as
there will be an explicit reduction in FED tax as well.
Summary of Findings
The main
driver for the IMC’s performance is Corolla throughout the years taken for
study, however with increasing competition and capacity expansions by the
competitors would provide in difficult situations for the company, and thus has
to increase the market share of other product lines as well to expand the
existing facilities with the increased cash balance at hand.
Cost
drivers were mainly Material cost and finished good inventory, however the
company has been improving its credit sales and finished good inventory
management but needs to be better and efficient due to increasing inflationary
impact and reducing buying power of the consumer.
IMC has already
introduced new products in trading business; however the contribution in total
sales is still not significant. If this is improved then the company can
benefit higher income without affecting its existing manufacturing line, also
it will help increase the market share of the company.
Discussion, Summary, Conclusions
and Recommendations
IMC has
been the market leader for the last five years in a role, however the company
has faced tough times like its peers and is coming on top of every obstacle, although
it still has a long way to go to go especially in concern to capacity expansion
as its peers are continuously making heavy investments in the same.
IMC has
been efficient in not only improving its cost and revenue centres but also
sustained to be better than prior years and hopefully for the future as well.
The following concerns and risks would be affecting the IMC figures for the
year 2011 and upcoming as the whole economy is shifting.
Increasing
car prices
The company has already pass down
the increased material cost to its customers with aggressive marketing
strategies to gain through volumetric sales measures and is successful in doing
so.
Steel
prices
Material cost has a direct impact
from steel prices as it has recently touched its all time high of USD 1,275 per
ton. The commodity prices have already comedown to reasonable levels but still
there is a concern that the same could be reached.
Rupee
depreciation Vs Localization
For IMC
its not a major concern as the Rupee-Yen depreciation is not much this year,
although the impact on the material cost can be alarming as the suppliers of
IMC have to have concern regarding this. Also there is a possibility of
localization of material, as the current model of Corolla is already at more
than 65% localized levels, likewise if the Cuore can be shifted to the same not
only the price will reduce but its demand would be greater than ever due to the
better quality maintained.
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